After Prime Minister John Briceño declared the 2024–2025 sugar crop “one of the worst we’ve had in a long time,” the Belize Sugar Industries (BSI) confirmed the grim reality in hard numbers, describing this year’s performance as one of the worst in over three decades.
Sean Chavarria, Director of Finance at BSI, said, “The total cane received is just under 884,000 metric tons. That’s a low for us.” He added that the only comparable year in recent history was 2020, which was still higher despite coming on the heels of the 2019 drought.
But it’s not just quantity that’s concerning, quality also took a hit. Chavarria explained that the Tons of Cane to Tons of Sugar (TCTS) ratio, a key measure of efficiency, stood at approximately 11.1 to 11.2 this season. “That’s one of the lowest we’ve seen since the 2010 crop,” he said.
After liquidation, total sugar production is expected to come in at just under 79,000 metric tons, a figure not seen since 2008, making this season one of the lowest-producing crops in 35 to 40 years.
“It’s not a very good crop. From our standpoint, it’s been very challenging,” Chavarria said, pointing to a mix of contributing factors including adverse weather, widespread disease, and manpower shortages. “We had long stops due to heavy rains in February and March, totaling 12 days. There was also a lot of ‘out of cane’ scenarios where farmers struggled to meet milling requirements.”
The Fusarium Wilt disease, which the Prime Minister described earlier in the day as a “fungus ravaging cane fields,” is one of the most significant threats. Chavarria confirmed that stakeholders are actively assessing the disease’s long-term impact but cautioned, “It might be a little too early to see the full effect.”
Despite the bleak short-term outlook, Chavarria remains optimistic about the future. “The hope that we have is that our problems are solvable. All these issues can be solved,” he said, emphasizing the need for field renovation, access to agricultural credit, and mechanization of harvesting to reduce dependency on labor and increase productivity.